Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.521802 0.603160 0.692170 0.796666 0.915864 1.047476 1.203690
2025-06-22 0.370857 0.477664 0.606584 0.773116 0.981957 1.234574 1.562656
2025-06-29 0.286932 0.400162 0.547005 0.750267 1.023050 1.375029 1.861964
2025-07-06 0.232267 0.346058 0.502651 0.732062 1.057405 1.499682 2.143341
2025-07-13 0.202187 0.318903 0.487909 0.747780 1.133953 1.682479 2.515349
2025-07-20 0.184545 0.306157 0.490348 0.785863 1.243294 1.918279 2.981423
2025-07-27 0.166980 0.290329 0.485092 0.810047 1.332216 2.129986 3.429062
2025-08-03 0.149119 0.271074 0.471362 0.818070 1.395048 2.305578 3.834810
2025-08-10 0.132108 0.250593 0.452612 0.814759 1.437693 2.451161 4.203308
2025-08-17 0.116558 0.230347 0.431470 0.804259 1.466012 2.574192 4.543250
2025-08-24 0.103573 0.212890 0.412864 0.795504 1.495319 2.699646 4.895399
2025-08-31 0.090142 0.192656 0.386678 0.769761 1.491230 2.766419 5.150567
2025-09-07 0.087045 0.192640 0.398652 0.816899 1.625292 3.088158 5.884339
2025-09-14 0.075978 0.174851 0.374399 0.792287 1.623568 3.167519 6.191510
2025-09-21 0.066549 0.159112 0.352190 0.768877 1.621132 3.244207 6.498434
2025-09-28 0.058814 0.145920 0.333506 0.750246 1.625662 3.333295 6.834361
2025-10-05 0.054965 0.140996 0.331648 0.766330 1.701429 3.564782 7.461515
2025-10-12 0.053256 0.140850 0.340114 0.805300 1.827890 3.905316 8.328188
2025-10-19 0.050575 0.137959 0.342070 0.830045 1.926264 4.196736 9.117808
2025-10-26 0.046991 0.132292 0.336968 0.838254 1.989374 4.420521 9.785566
2025-11-02 0.043036 0.125079 0.327341 0.834866 2.026203 4.591750 10.355816
2025-11-09 0.039060 0.117213 0.315185 0.824123 2.045214 4.726197 10.857646
2025-11-16 0.035587 0.110199 0.304285 0.815165 2.067298 4.868529 11.386226